Bitcoin (BTC) erased then recovered its daily gains later on March 8 as United States President Joe Biden announced a complete ban on Russian oil imports.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
BTC comes full circle while gold steals the show
Having hit $39,240, the pair swiftly changed trajectory as Biden confirmed the plans, which added to oil’s already strong gains and further pressured stocks and risk assets.
“Today I’m announcing that the United States is targeting the main artery of Russia’s economy,” he said at a press conference.
“We’re banning all imports of Russian oil and gas and energy. That means that Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at U.S. ports and American people will deal another powerful blow to Putin’s war machine.”
Brent crude rose to highs of $133 on the announcement, while U.S. stocks had little to celebrate, the S&P 500 down 0.5% on the day at the time of writing.
– Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) March 8, 2022
Bitcoin, still within a familiar range, nonetheless avoided major losses as it bounced back to $39,000.
“I don’t know what’s going to happen with the U.S. embargo on the price action. Natural reaction would be that USOIL goes up some more, while risk-on assets are dropping,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe nonetheless argued.
I actually think the opposite takes place with the impact of a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ event.”
Gold, meanwhile, capitalized on the latest twist in the Russia-Ukraine saga, bouncing back above $2,000 per ounce to target all-time highs.
XAU/USD 1-week candle chart. Source: TradingView
Have stocks already bottomed?
Similarly, not everyone was wholly convinced that stocks had their worst ahead of them.
In what should be a silver lining for Bitcoin bulls, popular analytics account BTCfuel flagged the equity market-related economic uncertainty index showing that – if history is a guide – stocks may have already delivered their pullback.
For people concerned about the stock market in the short / mid term (and its potential relation with #Bitcoin)
This indicator underneath shows that the possible big capitulation in the stock markets likely already happened in the Ukraine – Russia conflict (value > 500)
– BTCfuel (@BTCfuel) March 8, 2022
“During the 6 times this happened, peak uncertainty was during the big capitulation More importantly, stocks went up in the months afterwards, after 3 months on average 18% up,” he added.
The last and only significant such occasion in Bitcoin’s lifespan was the March 2020 Covid crash and its fallout.