3 reasons why Ethereum can hit $3K in the short term despite overvaluation risks

Ethereum risks bearish exposure as ETH price rises against falling volumes, but three crucial on-chain indicators suggest a dissenting scenario.

Ethereum’s native asset Ether (ETH) dropped after reclaiming its two-month high in the previous session, suggesting that its recent bullish rally was nearing exhaustion. 

In detail, the ETH/USD pair topped out at $2,699 on Sunday for the first time since June 7. The pair’s peak level also pushed its relative strength index (RSI), a momentum-gauging indicator, above 70, a mark that analysts consider overbought.

Seemingly, traders with short-term risk setups sold the Ether top to secure interim profits, leading up to a modest downside correction.

Ether eyes a run-up towards $3.25K based on a Falling Wedge breakout setup. Source: TradingView.com

On Monday, Ether prices rose 1.81% to $2,600 to offset the Sunday sell-off risks.

The upswing indicated that traders could still place higher bids for the cryptocurrency, especially in the days leading up to the Ethereum’s London hardfork upgrade that would—for the first time—bring deflationary features to the project’s economy via a new base fee burning mechanism.

Greg Waisman, co-founder, and COO at payment network Mercuryo, noted that Ether’s prices could easily cross above $3,000 after the hardfork, given it would bring a “more flexible and cheaper fee structure” to the Ethereum network, boosting adoption. The analyst told Cointelegraph:

“The hype buildup with respect to the forthcoming London hardfork is not reflective of the current price trend […] Ethereum is currently seeing a retracement; it confirms that the sellers are deliberately lowering the price for a post-upgrade price pump.”

#Ethereum has notched a 12-day winning streak, the longest ever

The IOMAP indicator reveals that $ETH is sitting on strong support while facing the last 2 key levels of on-chain resistance on its path to $3k once again

Between $2,598 and $2,753, 1.19m addresses bought 2.03m ETH pic.twitter.com/KAP3y0V94i

— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) August 2, 2021

That bullish trio 

At least three on-chain indicators tracking Ether flows in and out of dedicated addresses foresee an extending upside setup.

Spotted on CryptoQuant, the three metrics involved tracking Ether reserves across all exchanges and their outflow from trading platforms, as well as the volume of ETH tokens being deposited to Ethereum 2.0 smart contract.

Related: Traders forecast $3K Ethereum price but derivatives data suggests otherwise

The CryptoQuant data showed that the total Ether reserves on exchanges declined, indicating that fewer traders are interested in exchanging ETH for other assets. Meanwhile, the ETH outflow from those exchanges spiked, illustrating traders’ intention to hold their Ethereum tokens around the London hard fork event.

Ether reserves and netflow from crypto exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

Working in conjugation with the exchange data, the third on-chain indicator showed a surge in ETH deposits to its smart contract.

In detail, users can stake 32 ETH into Ethereum 2.0 smart contracts to become validators on its Proof-of-Stake blockchain. In doing so, they expect to received rewards for batching transactions into a new Ethereum block or checking the work of other validators to keep the chain running securely.

The number of unique 32 ETH depositors crosses 4,000. Source: CryptoQuant 

Analysts see the event as bullish because it removes active Ether supply from circulation against a potentially rising demand.

“The increasing Ethereum 2.0 deposits show a big trust in the future potentials of the Ethereum blockchain, which stirs the scarcity of its native token Ether,” Waisman explained. “The situation may impact positively on the coin’s price.”

“With these positive fundamentals, a return back to the previous all-time high of $4,360 in the long term will be a mild ambition price target for Ether.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.