Sold your SOL? Solana price eyes 35% jump as two technical signals flip bullish

At least two technical indicators show Solana (SOL) could undergo a sharp price recovery in June, even after the SOL/USD pair’s 78.5% year-to-date decline.

SOL price nears bullish wedge breakout

First, Solana has been painting a “falling wedge” since May, confirmed by its fluctuations inside two descending, converging trendlines. Traditional analysts consider falling wedges as bullish reversal patterns, meaning they resolve after the price breaks above their upper trendlines.

As a rule of technical analysis, a falling wedge’s profit target is measured after adding the maximum distance between its upper and lower trendlines to the breakout point. So depending on SOL’s breakout level, its price would rise by roughly $20, as shown below.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring “rising wedge” breakout setup. Source: TradingView

That puts the SOL’s price target at $58 if measured from the current price, or about 35% higher. But if the price retreats after testing the wedge’s upper trendline and continues to fluctuate inside its range, SOL’s profit target would keep getting lower.

The Solana token can rise at least to $44 after breaking out of its wedge pattern.

Bullish divergence

More upside cues for Solana come from a growing separation between its price and momentum trends.

In detail, SOL’s recent downside moves accompany an upside retracement in the readings of its daily relative price index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that detects an asset’s overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring price-momentum divergence. Source: TradingView

This situation, otherwise known as “bullish divergence,” shows that bears are losing control and that bulls would capture the market again.

Solana still faces bearish risks

Financial market veteran Tom Bulkowski believes falling wedges are poor bullish indicators, however, with a higher breakeven failure rate of 26%. Meanwhile, there is only a 64% chance that a falling wedge would meet its profit target, which leaves Solana with the possibility of continuing its downtrend.

Related: Solana developers tackle bugs hoping to prevent further outages

Bulkowski asserts:

“The only variation that works well is a downward breakout in a bear market.”

Fundamentals around Solana agree with a downside outlook. They include a hawkish Federal Reserve and the negative impact of their tightening on riskier assets, including cryptos and equities.

As a result, SOL could move lower under the said macro risks, with its next potential downside target in the $19-$25 area, as shown below.

SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

This range was instrumental as support in the March-July 2021 session.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

All Dutch and English crypto news!

What is StrongBlock (STRONG) and how does it work?

The digital financial environment continues to develop almost every second, which is no surprise to those in the crypto sector. Among such technological advancements, a...

Bitcoin network power demand falls to 10.65GW as hash rate sees 14% drop

The overall power consumption of the Bitcoin (BTC) network recorded a drastic drop after mimicking the two-week-long fall in the mining hash rate, which reduced...

It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

The Los Angeles Times reported Friday that recently opened NFT-themed burger joint Bored & Hungry no longer accepts cryptocurrency as a form of payment for...

Celsius Network hires advisers ahead of potential bankruptcy: Report

Crypto lending platform Celsius Network has reportedly onboarded advisers from a management consulting firm in advance of the company possibly facing bankruptcy. According to a Friday...

Beste exchanges

Koop je crypto bij Bitvavo